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时间:2012年12月28日(周五)中午12:30-13:30
地点:太阳集团tcy8722305室
嘉宾:曲保智(招商局集团战略研究部副总经理)
题目:Can Credit and Location Choice Explain the House Price Inflation in China?
主持人:太阳集团tcy8722国际经济与贸易系陈仪 博士
主讲人介绍:
Dr. Baozhi Qu, Deputy General Manager, Strategy and Research at China Merchants Group at Hong Kong. He got his Ph.D. in Economics from University of Pittsburgh in 2004. He was an assistant professor in the Chinese University of Hong Kong and has published papers in Journal of Comparative Economics and the World Economy.
内容提要:
This paper studies how housing price, location choice, and financial institutions’ lending interact with each other. We find that there is a two-way relationship between house price inflation and credit expansion using the city level data of China from 1999 to 2009. More importantly, it seems that bank lending expands to meet demand in the housing market. With amenities variables in the dataset, we can also inspect the impact of location tied features on home price. Our two-step regression analysis shows that amenity variables are both economically and statistically significantly affecting home price in China.